A coalition of Ukraine’s allies, backed by the United States, has pledged to provide security guarantees to Ukraine, including binding commitments for support in the event of another Russian attack. The commitment was made at a summit in Paris involving primarily European nations, focused on solidifying these guarantees as discussions continue regarding a potential ceasefire with Russia.
Coalition Advances Security Discussions
Discussions on security guarantees have progressed in recent weeks, even as Russia has not publicly indicated acceptance of such arrangements. The focus has shifted from pledges of military aid to legally binding commitments to aid Ukraine should Russia attack again. These commitments could include military capabilities, intelligence, logistical support, diplomatic initiatives, and additional sanctions.
US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff stated that President Donald Trump “strongly stands behind security protocols,” describing them as “as strong as anyone has ever seen.” Leaders also agreed to participate in a US-led ceasefire monitoring and verification mechanism.
French President Emmanuel Macron emphasized the desire for a “fair, lasting and clear-eyed” peace with guarantees. European leaders including British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, and Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni highlighted the renewed unity between Europe and the US in supporting Ukraine.
A European-led Multinational Force for Ukraine is planned to support the rebuilding of Ukraine’s armed forces and bolster deterrence, with proposed support from the US. Ukraine has consistently sought security guarantees comparable to the NATO alliance’s mutual defense agreement. Russia, however, seeks to prevent Ukraine from joining military alliances as part of any peace deal.
What Could Happen Next
If Russia continues to refuse concessions, the coalition may proceed to finalize the “binding commitments” despite the lack of Russian acceptance. This could lead to increased tensions and a continued build-up of defensive capabilities in Ukraine. A possible next step is the formalization of the Multinational Force for Ukraine. It is also likely that further diplomatic efforts will be made to engage Russia in meaningful negotiations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the “Coalition of the Willing”?
The “Coalition of the Willing” is a group of mainly European nations that convened in Paris to firm up security guarantees for Ukraine in the event of a ceasefire with Russia.
What kind of support are the security guarantees expected to include?
The security guarantees may include the use of military capabilities, intelligence, logistical support, diplomatic initiatives, and the adoption of additional sanctions.
What is Russia’s position on security guarantees for Ukraine?
Russia wants any peace deal to bar Ukraine from military alliances, and has yet to signal willingness to make concessions regarding security guarantees.
How will these new commitments impact the ongoing negotiations for peace in Ukraine?
