US Support for Ukraine Will Hold After Midterms, Says Daniel Fried

President Donald Trump’s evolving approach toward Ukraine reflects a growing recognition in Washington that a Russian victory is far from inevitable, according to former senior US diplomat Daniel Fried. Speaking to the Kyiv Post, Fried detailed how a recent Washington meeting between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky marked a sharp improvement over their explosive Feb. 28, 2025, White House encounter, highlighting a shift toward practical cooperation and strong bipartisan congressional backing.

Bipartisan Senate Support Advances Economic Pressure on Russia

Strong bipartisan backing for Ukraine remains firmly intact in Congress, underscored by an overwhelming 86–12 procedural vote in the Senate advancing legislation to increase economic pressure on Moscow. According to Fried, President Zelensky engaged directly with U.S. senators prior to the vote, helping flip several lawmakers from no to yes. Originally championed by the late Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham alongside Democratic Sen. Richard Blumenthal, the measure expands sanctions and grants Trump authority to impose tariffs of up to 100% on countries remaining major consumers of Russian energy.

Shifting Assessments of the Battlefield and MAGA Base Dynamics

Fried argued that the most consequential development is the shift in Trump’s own assessment of the war, moving away from the once-widespread assumption that a Russian victory was inevitable. “A change of heart, or the apparent change of heart, on the part of President Trump and therefore his administration is a result of Ukrainian successes on the battlefield and Trump’s recognition of those successes,” Fried stated. This evolution is also visible within portions of the MAGA base. Conservative activist Laura Loomer, a prominent Trump ally previously critical of Ukraine, reversed much of her position after visiting the country and meeting Zelensky, publicly warning conservatives against Russian propaganda.

Upcoming Diplomatic Envoys and Practical Cooperation

The altered tone in Washington sets the stage for an expected visit to Kyiv by Trump envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff. This upcoming trip marks their first visit to Ukraine following repeated contacts with Moscow as part of the administration’s diplomatic efforts to end the war. Fried noted that this anticipated visit, alongside discussions regarding Patriot air defense systems and the recent Senate vote, points toward a relationship increasingly centered on practical cooperation rather than past confrontation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What prompted the shift in the Trump administration’s approach to Ukraine?

According to Daniel Fried, the administration’s changing stance stems directly from documented Ukrainian successes on the battlefield, which proved false the previous assumption that a Russian victory was inevitable.

Trump’s victory casts doubt on U.S. support for Ukraine | Daniel Fried

What does the recent Senate vote on Russia entail?

The 86–12 procedural vote advances legislation that expands sanctions against Russia and grants the U.S. president authority to impose tariffs of up to 100% on nations that continue consuming significant amounts of Russian energy.

Who are the Trump envoys expected to travel to Kyiv?

Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff are expected to visit Kyiv for the first time following ongoing diplomatic contacts with Moscow.

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