‘We’re seeing eviction rates not seen in Ireland since the 1850s’

by Chief Editor

Ireland’s Eviction Crisis: Echoes of the Past and a Precarious Future

The recent surge in eviction notices in Ireland – 5,405 in a single quarter – isn’t simply a statistic. It’s a stark warning sign, one that resonates deeply with the nation’s history of displacement and raises serious questions about the future of housing security. While the causes differ from the 19th-century evictions driven by land ownership inequality, the scale of tenant displacement is alarmingly familiar.

A Rising Tide of Displacement: The Numbers Tell the Story

Data from the Residential Tenancies Board (RTB) reveals a consistent upward trend. Notices of termination have climbed steadily, with 2025 on track to mirror or exceed 2023 levels. Crucially, these aren’t primarily due to tenants falling behind on rent. A staggering 61% of notices issued between 2022 and 2025 stem from landlords choosing to sell their properties. This indicates a systemic issue: many property owners no longer see the rental market as a viable investment.

This isn’t just about numbers; it’s about lives disrupted. Each eviction contributes to a shrinking rental supply, intensifying competition and driving up costs for those remaining. The ripple effect impacts individuals, families, and the broader economy.

Historical Parallels: Lessons from a Troubled Past

Ireland’s history is scarred by evictions. During the Great Famine, legislation actively encouraged landlords to evict tenants, resulting in the displacement of an estimated half a million people. While today’s context is vastly different – a modern, urban, and financially driven rental market – the sheer volume of displacement evokes unsettling parallels.

Between 1855 and 1877, the eviction rate was 0.14 per 100 holdings, rising to 0.48 during the Land War. Modern data suggests a rate of roughly one eviction notice per 100 households, and even higher when considering only rented properties. This suggests we are witnessing eviction rates not seen since the mid-19th century.

Number of evictions in Ireland 1849-1920. Graph supplied by authors

The International Context: Is Ireland an Outlier?

Ireland’s eviction rates appear unusually high when compared to other OECD countries. While methodologies vary, data suggests that less than 1% of renter households face eviction orders annually in nations like the UK, Denmark, Sweden, and the Netherlands. Ireland, however, sees roughly 3-4% of renter households receiving notices of termination each year – a significantly higher proportion.

Did you know? A ‘notice of termination’ isn’t an eviction order. It’s the first step in a process that can, but doesn’t always, lead to a tenant being forced to leave their home.

Future Trends: What Lies Ahead for Irish Renters?

Several factors suggest the current crisis is unlikely to abate quickly. Continued economic pressures, rising interest rates, and limited housing supply will likely keep the rental market tight. Here are some potential future trends:

  • Increased Institutional Investment: We may see more large-scale investors entering the rental market, potentially leading to a more professionalized, but potentially less flexible, rental landscape.
  • Further Rent Increases: With demand exceeding supply, rents are likely to continue climbing, exacerbating affordability issues.
  • Policy Interventions: Government intervention, such as enhanced tenant protections, rent controls, or increased social housing construction, will be crucial to stabilizing the market. Recent legislation introducing changes to the rental system is a step in this direction, but its long-term impact remains to be seen.
  • Growth of ‘Rent-to-Own’ Schemes: These schemes, while offering a pathway to homeownership, can also be complex and carry risks for both tenants and landlords.
  • Increased Homelessness: Without significant intervention, a continued rise in evictions will inevitably lead to an increase in homelessness.

The Role of Financialization and Investment

The increasing financialization of housing – treating homes primarily as investment assets rather than places to live – is a key driver of the crisis. Properties are bought and sold based on potential returns, often prioritizing profit over the needs of tenants. This trend is unlikely to reverse without significant policy changes.

Pro Tip: Tenants should familiarize themselves with their rights and responsibilities under Irish tenancy law. The RTB website (https://rtb.ie/) is an excellent resource.

FAQ: Addressing Common Concerns

  • What is a Notice of Termination? A formal written notice from a landlord informing a tenant that the tenancy will end on a specific date.
  • What are my rights as a tenant if I receive a Notice of Termination? You have the right to challenge the notice if it is invalid or unfair. You also have the right to seek assistance from the RTB or a legal advisor.
  • Is rent control a solution to the eviction crisis? Rent control is a complex issue with potential benefits and drawbacks. While it can protect tenants from excessive rent increases, it can also discourage investment in rental properties.
  • What is being done to address the housing shortage? The government is implementing various measures, including increasing social housing construction and incentivizing private developers to build more homes.

The current eviction crisis in Ireland is a complex issue with deep historical roots. Addressing it requires a multifaceted approach that tackles the underlying causes of housing insecurity, protects tenants’ rights, and prioritizes the provision of affordable and sustainable housing for all.

Want to learn more? Explore our other articles on Irish housing policy and tenant rights.

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