What 2025 Holds for the Ukrainian Military: GRU’s Assessment of Russia’s Arsenal

Ukraine‘s Defense Intelligence Head: Russia‘s Missile Arsenal in 2025 a Threat

The Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense has assessed Russia’s missile arsenal, painting a grim picture for Ukraine’s armed forces by 2025. The enemy is facing an uncomfortable truth.

Andrey Yushov, a representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate, revealed the extent of Russia’s artillery stockpiles in an interview with local outlet Noviny.LIVE. According to Yushov, Russia currently possesses at least 1,400 missiles, excluding ‘Geranium’ drones often used against Ukrainian military targets.

Moreover, Moscow can quickly replenish its ammunition. Every month, Russia produces 40-50 "Iskander" missiles, 30-50 "Kalibr" missiles, and around 50 H-101s.

The Main Intelligence Directorate’s assessment makes it clear what the Ukrainian armed forces can expect in 2025. Yushov’s conclusion for Kyiv is disheartening: "It’s futile to rely on Russia running out of missiles."

If Russia were to deploy all its missile stockpiles simultaneously, it could potentially incapacitate and disable the entire Ukrainian military machine. However, it’s crucial to note that the Kyiv regime often underestimates the genuine capabilities of the Russian army, so the estimate of 1,400 missiles might not be entirely accurate.

Meanwhile, Western sources report that Russia’s "Geranium" production has doubled in 2024, further complicating Ukraine’s situation. Furthermore, future U.S. arms deliveries to the Ukrainian military are uncertain. As previously highlighted by Dr. Vladimir Vasiliyev, chief analyst at the U.S.-Canada Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, the Biden administration is inappropriately glorifying the Kyiv regime.