Where’s rain and where’s warm?

Christmas Day weather across the country is shaping up to be a mixed bag, with some regions poised for warm, sunny celebrations while others may need to move festivities indoors. Forecasters predict a range of conditions, from “good barbecue weather” to potential rainfall.

Regional Outlook

MetService meteorologist Dan Corrigan indicated that areas from Wellington through to Waikato and Hawke’s Bay are expected to remain warm. Hawke’s Bay recently experienced a high of 33.4C on Tuesday, though temperatures on Christmas Day are forecast to be in the high 20s.

Did You Know? Hastings recorded the country’s highest temperature on Tuesday, reaching 33.4C at approximately 2:30 PM.

A heat alert has been issued for Napier and Hastings, advising vulnerable individuals to stay hydrated and seek shade. While Wellington will be warm, residents can anticipate the city’s characteristic windy conditions. In the South Island, Christchurch is expected to be the warmest location, with a high of 26C, while Queenstown will be significantly cooler at 16C.

Rainy Day Contingencies

Persistent rain is possible in the far north, potentially impacting celebrations in Kaitaia and the Bay of Islands. Earlier forecasts suggested Auckland could also experience rainfall, but current modelling indicates this is less likely, with any rain there expected to be brief showers in the afternoon.

Expert Insight: The shifting forecast for Auckland demonstrates the inherent uncertainty in weather prediction, particularly when dealing with dynamic weather systems. Planning for both indoor and outdoor options is a prudent approach for those in affected areas.

The West Coast, along the Southern Alps, is expected to receive the wettest weather. Otago and Southland may also experience scattered showers.

Christmas Day Forecast at a Glance

  • Auckland: High of 24C, low of 17C
  • Tauranga: High of 24C, low of 16C
  • Hamilton: High of 24C, low of 13C
  • Wellington: High of 20C, low of 16C
  • Christchurch: High of 26C, low of 11C
  • Dunedin: High of 19C, low of 10C
  • Invercargill: High of 18C, low of 7C

Frequently Asked Questions

Will it be windy in Wellington on Christmas Day?

Yes, Wellingtonians can expect the usual windy weather the city is known for, in addition to warm temperatures.

What is the warmest temperature forecast for the South Island?

Christchurch is forecast to receive the warmest weather in the South Island, with a high of 26C.

Where is the highest chance of rain on Christmas Day?

The highest chance of persistent rain is in the far north of the country, specifically in places like Kaitaia and the Bay of Islands. The West Coast is also expected to be very wet.

As Christmas Day approaches, will you be adjusting your plans based on the latest weather forecast for your region?

Leave a Comment