The political landscape of the Labour Party has shifted following an offer from Josh Simons to stand aside, potentially clearing a path for Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham to run in the Makerfield by-election.
This development brings several internal party tensions into sharp relief, particularly as Simons and Burnham represent different wings of the party. Supporters of the mayor have already begun branding him as a “unity” candidate.
Pressure on Downing Street
The move is widely seen as a strategy to increase pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer to establish a timetable for his own departure from Downing Street.
One supporter told political correspondents: “This proves that Andy Burnham is the only person who can unite the coalition the Labour Party needs to change the country. This represents the way forward that the party can unite around and the PM should set out an orderly process to deliver it.”
A Blow to Starmer’s Authority
The decision by No 10 not to block Burnham’s candidacy in Makerfield is being interpreted as a significant blow to the Prime Minister’s authority.
Observers suggest this indicates that the party’s internal momentum has shifted, making it increasingly demanding for Starmer’s allies to control the direction of the party.
The Stakes in Makerfield
The contest will serve as a critical test of Burnham’s personal popularity. While Makerfield was once considered safe Labour territory, it now holds a majority of less than 6,000.
Reform currently holds second place in the area and Nigel Farage’s party recently delivered a “drubbing” to Labour during local council elections.
Possible Outcomes
The results of the by-election could determine the future trajectory of Burnham’s career. If he fails to win the seat, his long-held ambitions for the party leadership are likely over.
Conversely, a victory could potentially secure him the Labour leadership and a path to No 10. Such a win would demonstrate his ability to turn the electoral tide by winning back voters who had migrated to Reform.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is Andy Burnham being described as a “unity” candidate?
His supporters believe he is the only person capable of uniting the coalition the Labour Party requires to change the country.
What is the electoral situation in Makerfield?
The seat is no longer safe for Labour, with a majority of less than 6,000 and Reform currently in second place.
How does this affect Keir Starmer?
The fact that No 10 will not block Burnham’s candidacy is seen as a blow to Starmer’s authority, suggesting his allies can no longer “shepherd” the party’s direction.
Do you believe a by-election victory in a marginal seat is the best way to determine party leadership?
