England enters the 2026 World Cup Round of 16 match against Mexico on July 6, 2026, as the betting favorite. According to Superbet analysts, England holds a 40% implied probability of winning with odds of 2.42, while Mexico’s victory is priced at 3.15 and a draw at 3.20.
What are the betting odds for Mexico vs. England?
As of July 5, 2026, betting markets indicate a slight advantage for the English side. Superbet analysts have released the following coefficients for the upcoming knockout stage fixture:
- England Victory: 2.42 (40% chance)
- Mexico Victory: 3.15 (30% chance)
- Draw: 3.20 (30% chance)
These figures suggest a highly competitive match, despite England’s status as the statistical favorite. Analysts note that while England has the edge, the probability gap between a Mexican win and a draw is non-existent, with both outcomes sitting at 30%.
How do the teams compare heading into the knockout stage?
A comparison of recent form reveals two different trajectories for these nations. Mexico, playing as the tournament host, enters the match following a dominant run of five consecutive victories. In contrast, England has maintained a strong presence but has shown more volatility in their recent results.
Mexico’s recent form
Mexico has displayed high defensive efficiency in their last five matches. According to recent match data, their results include:

- Mexico 2-0 Ecuador
- Czech Republic 0-3 Mexico
- Mexico 1-0 South Korea
- Mexico 2-0 South Africa
- Mexico 5-1 Serbia
England’s recent form
England has also secured four wins in their last five outings, though they recorded a scoreless draw against Ghana. Their recent match history shows:
- England 2-1 DR Congo
- Panama 0-2 England
- England 0-0 Ghana
- England 4-2 Croatia
- England 3-0 Costa Rica
Where can fans watch the Mexico vs. England match?
The Round of 16 clash will be broadcast live across several platforms. In Poland, viewers can tune in to TVP 2 and TVP Sport. The match will be called by commentators Maciej Iwański and Michał Zachodny.
For those preferring digital streaming, the match is available via the TVP Sport application and Betclic TV. These platforms provide live coverage of the tournament’s progression through the knockout rounds.
What happens to the winner of this match?
The stakes for this fixture extend into the quarter-finals. The winner of the Mexico vs. England match will advance to face the victor of the Brazil vs. Norway pairing. That quarter-final match is scheduled to take place in Miami on Saturday, July 11, at 23:00 Polish time.
For bettors looking to capitalize on tournament promotions, Fortuna is offering a welcome package valued at 550 PLN. This package includes cash bonuses, freebets, and rewards for social media engagement, such as joining their Discord community or sharing coupons in the “Coupon Zone.”
Frequently Asked Questions
When does the Mexico vs. England match start?
The match is scheduled for July 6, 2026, at 02:00.

Who is the favorite to win according to Superbet?
Superbet analysts favor England with odds of 2.42, representing a 40% win probability.
Which teams will the winner play in the quarter-finals?
The winner will play either Brazil or Norway in the next round, held in Miami.
What is your prediction for this knockout clash? Will the hosts pull off an upset, or will England advance? Let us know in the comments below!
