Justin Boone won the FantasyPros Most Accurate Expert Award in 2019 and 2025, securing nine top-10 finishes in the competition. As fantasy managers prepare for Week 4 lineups, Boone’s comprehensive rankings cover half-PPR and full-PPR formats across all major positions.
Justin Boone Weekly Rankings Schedule and Formats
Boone updates his rankings throughout the week to help managers make roster decisions. The final version of the Week 4 list arrives on Sunday morning. Fantasy managers can access half-PPR positional ranks for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, flex spots, defenses, and kickers. The full-PPR section includes running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, flex options, and trade value charts. Other Yahoo Fantasy analysts providing projections for the week include Scott Pianowski, Matt Harmon, Joel Smyth, and Hayden Winks.
Computer Model Projections Versus Human Expert Consensus
The SportsLine computer model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, highlights several stark contrasts with consensus expectations for Week 4. The model is low on Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty. Jeanty has recorded the eighth-most fantasy points among running backs this season, yet the computer model ranks him outside the top 15. The model favors David Montgomery, Jeremiyah Love, and Cam Skattebo over Jeanty, noting that Las Vegas plays the Chiefs—who boast the league’s 10th-best rush defense—and enters the matchup as an underdog, which could limit Jeanty’s late-game touches if Kansas City builds a lead. Conversely, the model is high on Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud, despite Stroud sitting as just the QB18 so far. Underperforming players like Drake Maye, Justin Herbert, Omarion Hampton, Courtland Sutton, and Tucker Kraft are creating difficult roster choices after three weeks of action.
Bold Predictions and Target Shares for Week 4
FantasyPros featured writer Josh Shepardson offered bold predictions for the slate. Shepardson is bullish on veteran running back Aaron Jones, predicting a top-10 finish despite Jones ranking as the half-PPR expert consensus RB15. In two games since Jordan Mason went to injured reserve, Jones has handled 40 of Minnesota’s 46 running back carries (87%) for 163 rushing yards. Following Kyler Murray's return last week, Jones posted a 58.8% route participation rate, a 20.7% target share, five receptions, and 34 receiving yards. The Vikings are 10.5-point favorites against the rebuilding Dolphins. Shepardson also predicts wide receiver DJ Moore will finish as a top-12 fantasy wideout. Moore ranks as the half-PPR WR23 this week following an AC joint sprain in Week 2 and a Week 3 return against the Chargers.
Rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels leads sleeper options
Several sleeper options were highlighted for the upcoming slate. Undrafted rookie signal-caller Jalon Daniels is set to start at quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home against the Green Bay Packers. The Packers allowed 35 points and 498 total yards to the Falcons in Week 3. Daniels carries -188 odds to rush for at least 30 yards, having surpassed 400 rushing yards in each of his last two college seasons. Sleeper options also include Jaguars tight end Brenton Strange in a matchup against the Bengals with a high 51.5 total and a 2.5-point spread, alongside Lions wide receiver Isaac TeSlaa facing a Carolina secondary missing cornerbacks Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson.
Timing and projections for fantasy football rankings
When are Justin Boone’s final fantasy rankings released?
Boone updates his rankings throughout the week, with the final version publishing on Sunday morning.
Why is the SportsLine model projecting Ashton Jeanty outside the top 15?
The model points to a matchup against the Chiefs’ 10th-best rush defense and the Raiders’ status as underdogs, which could limit Jeanty’s touches if Kansas City builds a lead.
What driving metrics support Aaron Jones’ Week 4 outlook?
Jones has handled 87% of Minnesota’s running back carries (40 of 46) over the last two games since Jordan Mason went to injured reserve, totaling 163 rushing yards.
Which team’s secondary is missing key cornerbacks?
The Carolina secondary is missing Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson.
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