Russia’s Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aircraft Plant is prioritizing a large-scale export contract for 48 Su-35 fighter jets for Iran, a move expected to slow domestic deliveries to the Russian Aerospace Forces through 2027. While United Aircraft Corporation has increased production capacity through new machinery and additional shifts, the surge in export demand is forcing a shift in delivery timelines for the Russian military.
Production Shifts and Export Priorities
The Komsomolsk-on-Amur facility is currently processing a significant order for Tehran. According to reported figures, 20 of the 48 ordered Su-35 aircraft have been completed, leaving 28 still in production. To manage this workload, the manufacturer has expanded its operations by hiring more personnel and implementing extra shifts.
This pivot toward international sales marks a change in strategy for the Russian defense industry. Previously, the Su-35 faced a stagnant global market due to technical issues and Western geopolitical pressure. For example, a 2015 agreement resulted in the delivery of only 24 aircraft to China, as Beijing shifted its focus toward domestic aviation programs. While Russia has supplied 18 jets to Algeria and six to Ethiopia, those were refurbished units originally intended for an Egyptian order, rather than newly manufactured aircraft. Consequently, the Iranian contract represents the most significant drain on new production slots during the current conflict.
The Su-35 has maintained the lowest loss rate of any modern Russian fighter jet currently operating in Ukraine, trailing only the MiG-31 and the Su-57 in recorded operational resilience.
Operational Impact on the Russian Aerospace Forces
Despite the delayed arrival of new Su-35 units, military analysts suggest the operational readiness of the Russian Air Force remains stable. The Russian military has already surpassed its original procurement goals for the Su-35, receiving over 150 aircraft against an initial target of 100. The final batch of a previous order of 128 jets arrived in 2022.
The Russian Aerospace Forces are currently integrating a mix of other advanced platforms into their fleet. These include the Su-57 stealth fighter, the Su-34 strike aircraft, and the Su-30SM2. Furthermore, the military is exploring the reactivation of MiG-31I interceptors from reserve stockpiles to bolster its current capabilities.
Long-Term Strategic Implications for Tehran
Iran’s interest in Russian aviation hardware extends well beyond the Su-35. Tehran has placed an order for 12 Su-30SM2 fighter jets and has signaled interest in acquiring the fifth-generation Su-57. However, due to existing production constraints, analysts suggest that Su-57 deliveries to Iran are unlikely to occur before 2030.
With an aging fleet of over 300 fighter jets, Iran is expected to remain a long-term customer for Russian military aviation. Should other nations, such as North Korea, also seek to purchase the Su-35, Russia may eventually prioritize international export contracts over domestic inventory replenishment entirely.
Frequently Asked Questions
Will the delay in Su-35 deliveries weaken the Russian Air Force?
No. According to current assessments, the Russian military has already exceeded its original procurement targets for the Su-35 and is currently integrating other advanced platforms like the Su-57 and Su-30SM2.
Why is the Su-35 suddenly in high demand?
After years of low international interest due to geopolitical factors, the Su-35 has seen a surge in demand from Iran. This is the first major contract for new-build aircraft since the 2015 agreement with China.
When will Iran receive its Su-57 jets?
While Iran has reportedly requested the fifth-generation Su-57, production delays suggest that deliveries are not expected until at least 2030.
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