World Leaders Meet at ASEAN Summit in Manila Facing Global Instability

World leaders gathered in Manila on Monday for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit, confronting a destabilised global order as the US-Israel war on Iran drives up fuel costs and strains regional economies.

The 11-member bloc meets from November 15 to 17, with US President Donald Trump and other international figures attending ahead of APEC talks in China, Al Jazeera reported. The meetings bring together nearly 694 million people, or 8.4 percent of the global population, under heightened geopolitical pressure.

Energy Grid Projects Gain Urgency

Rising petroleum prices from Middle East chaos have hit car-centric Manila hard, forcing political leaders to confront deep import reliance. “It's triggered protests … and has caused enormous headaches for political leaders,” Hunter Marston, South-East Asia program director at the Lowy Institute, told abc.net.au.

“ASEAN this year has been emphasising progress towards a strategic petroleum reserve and the ASEAN power grid,” Marston said, according to abc.net.au.

“Of course, it’s a very expensive and protracted issue, but I think it’s really about time that we have to implement this ASEAN energy grid,” Foreign Secretary Theresa Lazaro, Philippines Foreign Secretary, said.

Maritime Disputes in the South China Sea

Territorial disputes over the South China Sea remain central to the talks as the Philippines deals with persistent maritime confrontations involving Chinese vessels. A tribunal at The Hague ruled China’s nine-dash line has no international legal basis, yet low-level conflicts persist in the waterway.

Negotiations for a Code of Conduct with Beijing have seen roughly 10 rounds of talks led by Malaysia this year, Al Jazeera reported. Marston told abc.net.au he remains uncertain whether the final code will constrain Beijing’s behaviour or prevent escalation.

Myanmar conflict divides the region

More than five years after Myanmar’s military junta seized power in February 2021, conflict continues to divide the region, leaving an estimated 100,000 people dead and millions displaced. ASEAN continues to rely on its Five-Point Consensus while restricting junta leaders from high-level political summits.

Lazaro recently visited Myanmar as an envoy, describing the situation as deplorable while noting she was told former leader Aung San Suu Kyi was doing well. Meanwhile, the United States has held secretive talks with Myanmar leaders to secure access to rare earth metals used in modern manufacturing.

El Niño drives severe drought and haze

A Super El Niño weather pattern is driving severe drought, extreme heat, and agricultural disruptions across Southeast Asia, with projections to peak between late 2026 and early 2027. Indonesia’s slash-and-burn land clearing has fueled the worst fire season in a decade, scorching 2.88 million hectares and resulting in at least 3,500 deaths, according to Al Jazeera.

ASEAN summit: Who’s attending and what’s at stake
Photo: Al Jazeera

Toxic smoke has blanketed Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines, and Indonesia, straining diplomatic ties and pushing proposals for a cross-border haze-pollution authority to the forefront of the agenda.

Delegates sign digital economy framework

Delegates are expected to sign a region-wide digital economy framework to manage future transformation as ASEAN projects to become the fourth-largest economic bloc by 2030. Major investments in data centres across Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia have strengthened local economies.

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President Trump is expected to use the summit to urge regional nations to join the US-led Pax Silica initiative to reduce reliance on China for artificial intelligence supply chains.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which countries comprise the ASEAN economic bloc?

The 11 member states are Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Cambodia, and East Timor, representing a combined population of nearly 694 million people, Al Jazeera reported.

49th ASEAN Summit: Leaders From Member Nations And Dialogue Partners Arrive In Manila — CNN-News18

What is the status of the ASEAN code of conduct for the South China Sea?

Malaysia led about 10 rounds of negotiations with Beijing through October, but analysts doubt a definitive conclusion will be reached during this week’s summit in Manila, according to Al Jazeera.

How many deaths have been linked to Indonesia’s recent wildfires?

Widespread wildfires in drought-hit Indonesia have scorched approximately 2.88 million hectares and resulted in at least 3,500 deaths, Al Jazeera reported.

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