Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin: Russia Has Become China’s Junior Partner

According to reports from The Wall Street Journal published following a diplomatic visit in May, Russian President Vladimir Putin has been relegated to a subordinate diplomatic status by Chinese President Xi Jinping, marked by Beijing’s refusal to sign the Power of Siberia 2 natural gas pipeline agreement and demands for heavily subsidized domestic pricing.

Power of Siberia 2 Pipeline Stalls in Beijing

During a high-profile visit to Beijing, Vladimir Putin met with Xi Jinping to secure an agreement for the planned Power of Siberia 2 natural gas pipeline, a crucial infrastructure project designed to redirect energy exports away from lost European markets. According to sources with knowledge of the negotiations cited by The Wall Street Journal, Chinese officials refused to move forward unless Moscow agreed to pricing on par with heavily subsidized rates in the Russian domestic market. German business leader Joerg Wuttke told The Wall Street Journal that Xi received Putin like an emperor before sending him home without the pipeline contract.

From Strategic Equals to Unequal Power Dynamics

When Xi Jinping assumed the presidency of China in 2013, he selected Moscow for his inaugural foreign trip and viewed Putin as a political role model, according to individuals familiar with their early interactions reported by The Wall Street Journal. Over the subsequent decade, that dynamic shifted dramatically as China’s economy expanded past Russia’s. Following the invasion of Ukraine, Western sanctions cut Moscow off from major financial systems and consumer markets, rendering the Kremlin heavily reliant on Beijing for trade, industrial components, and diplomatic cover.

Did you know? According to data from Bloomberg, more than 90 percent of Russia’s imported sanctioned technology originates from China, highlighting the deep asymmetry in trade between the two nations.

Economic Dependency and One-Sided Trade

Trade statistics illustrate a profound imbalance between the two partners. While China serves as Russia’s largest trading partner, Russia accounts for roughly four percent of China’s total foreign trade, according to data cited by the BBC. Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, stated to the channel that Russia sits entirely within China’s sphere of influence, allowing Beijing to dictate terms. This leverage enabled Beijing to stall the Power of Siberia 2 negotiations much as it did during talks over the original Power of Siberia pipeline, which concluded in 2014 following Russia’s annexation of Crimea.

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Strategic Alignment Amid Unequal Costs

Despite economic disparities, both leaders continue to project a united front against Western influence. During the May meetings, Xi stated that bilateral ties provide stability amid global chaos, while Putin described the partnership as reaching historic highs, according to CNN reporting. Ben Scott of the Lowy Institute noted in a 2023 analysis that the relationship functions primarily on Chinese terms, with Russia absorbing the bulk of geopolitical costs while Beijing extracts strategic benefits. Meanwhile, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov rejected descriptions of Russia as a junior partner, telling The Wall Street Journal that relations are built on equality and mutual respect.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did China refuse the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline agreement?

According to The Wall Street Journal, Beijing demanded that Russia accept gas prices matching heavily subsidized domestic rates in Russia before committing to the infrastructure project.

How has trade between Russia and China changed?

Following Western sanctions tied to the war in Ukraine, Russia’s economic isolation increased its reliance on Chinese imports, with Bloomberg data showing over 90 percent of Russia’s sanctioned technology imports coming from China.

What is the official stance of the Kremlin regarding the power dynamic?

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov rejected the junior-partner label, asserting to The Wall Street Journal that bilateral relations are founded on equality and mutual respect.

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