Bulgaria Shifts Toward Russia as Jotova Joins Radev Administration

Iliana Jotova claims victory in Bulgarian presidential runoff

Iliana Jotova is set to become the first elected female president of Bulgaria, according to exit polls following Sunday’s runoff election. Multiple outlets, including NOS Nieuws, report that the 62-year-old interim president secured between 51 and 58 percent of the vote, defeating pro-European challenger Andrej Gjoerov. Gjoerov, a former interim premier, has acknowledged the result and congratulated Jotova on her win.

The official final tally is expected Monday once all votes are counted. Jotova’s victory reinforces the political position of Rumen Radev, who leads the “Progressive Bulgaria” coalition. Both Jotova and Radev maintain a platform skeptical of providing military and financial aid to Ukraine, advocating instead for a negotiated end to the conflict.

Rising turnout follows record-low first round

Sunday’s voting saw an increase in participation compared to the first round held last week. While official final turnout figures were not available Sunday evening, NOS Nieuws noted that the participation rate rose above the 23 percent recorded previously, which had marked a historic low for the country. The low turnout in the initial round had necessitated this second decisive stage of the election.

The election campaign occurred against a backdrop of prolonged political instability in Bulgaria, which has navigated eight elections in five years. Jotova has served as interim president since January 2026, when Radev stepped down from the role to pursue the premiership.

Maritime security concerns in the Black Sea

The election concludes during a period of heightened tension regarding regional security. Recent weeks have seen a series of drone attacks on commercial vessels in the Black Sea, occurring within or near Bulgarian territorial waters. According to NRC, the most recent incident involved the sinking of the Greek-owned container ship Contship Jet last Thursday after it was struck by three sea drones. While all 18 crew members were rescued, the attacks have led to calls for increased military assistance from NATO allies.

Bulgaria Shifts Toward Russia as Jotova Joins Radev Administration
Photo: upday News

While international observers and the Bulgarian government have pointed toward Russia, responsibility for the specific attacks remains unconfirmed. On October 20, NATO announced the deployment of additional drones and patrol aircraft to the Black Sea to bolster security, though the alliance has not officially attributed the strikes to any specific state. Prime Minister Radev has stated that while Russia stands to benefit from the disruption, definitive proof of their involvement is currently lacking.

Common questions regarding the Bulgarian vote

Will Jotova’s victory change Bulgaria’s foreign policy?

Jotova has campaigned as a “peace president,” advocating for a shift in strategy regarding the war in Ukraine. She supports pursuing closer ties with Moscow and argues that peace can only be achieved through negotiations that likely include concessions from Kyiv, a stance that contrasts with the pro-Western approach favored by her opponent, Andrej Gjoerov.

epa13345324 Incumbent President Iliyana Yotova casts her ballot during the second round of the presidential election in
Photo: NRC

What happens next in the electoral process?

The results released Sunday are based on exit polls conducted by organizations such as the Bulgarian polling institute Mjara. The official, confirmed outcome of the election is expected to be released by electoral authorities on Monday morning.

How does the Bulgarian presidency function?

The Bulgarian presidency is primarily a ceremonial role. However, the office holds significant symbolic weight in shaping the national discourse, particularly regarding the country’s alignment within the European Union and NATO.

Bulgaria Election Showdown: Russia or the West? Voters Face High-Stakes Presidential Runoff