Typhoon Inday (international name Bavi) is forecast to exit the Philippine area of responsibility this Saturday morning, July 11, 2026, after passing close to or making landfall at the Sakishima Islands in southern Japan, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa).
Current Location and Strength of Typhoon Inday
As of 5 a.m. on July 11, Pagasa tracked Inday 500 kilometers northeast of Itbayat, Batanes. The typhoon is moving northwestward, though it has decelerated from 25 kilometers per hour (kph) to 20 kph. The system maintains maximum wind speeds of 140 kph and gustiness reaching 170 kph, according to the state weather bureau.
Wind Signal Warnings and Regional Impacts
Pagasa placed Itbayat, Batanes under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 2. This signal indicates wind speeds between 62 kph and 88 kph, which the bureau describes as a “minor to moderate threat to life and property.”
TCWS No. 1 remains in effect for the following areas, where wind speeds range from 39 kph to 61 kph:
- The rest of Batanes
- Babuyan Islands
- Northern mainland Cagayan, including Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Santa Teresita, Buguey, Camalaniugan, Aparri, Ballesteros, Abulug, Pamplona, Sanchez-Mira, Claveria, and Santa Praxedes
The bureau has lifted TCWS No. 1 from parts of Isabela and Ilocos Norte.
Monsoon Effects and Gale-Force Gusts
The periphery of Typhoon Inday and an enhanced southwest monsoon, or habagat, are expected to bring strong to gale-force gusts. Pagasa forecasts these conditions for most of the country on Saturday and Sunday. By Sunday, these gusts may specifically affect most of Luzon, most of Visayas, Camiguin, Davao Oriental, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, and Zamboanga del Norte.
Projected Path and Intensity Changes
Following its exit from the Philippine area of responsibility, Inday is likely to move toward the East China Sea and make landfall on the eastern coast of mainland China. Pagasa notes that the system may remain a typhoon for the next 12 hours, but it could weaken into a severe tropical storm as it moves further inland over China.
