Despite ongoing conflict and reported targeted killings, Hamas has reportedly completed internal elections across its three districts – Gaza, the West Bank, and abroad – under conditions of secrecy.
“Shadow” Leadership in Gaza
Due to concerns about assassinations, Hamas has not publicly identified the recent leaders within the Gaza Strip. Ali al-Amoudi, a close associate of Sinwar who has survived previous assassination attempts, has emerged as the individual expected to manage the organization’s operations inside Gaza.
Rebuilding the Political Bureau
Following the deaths of numerous leadership figures, including Sinwar, Mohammed Deif, and Mushtaha, Hamas is establishing a new “General Political Bureau” comprised of 18 members to lead the organization over the next four years. The competition to head the Political Bureau, replacing Haniyeh and Sinwar, has narrowed to Khalil al-Hayya, representing the Iranian axis, and Khaled Mashal, representing the external leadership.
Gaza Representatives from Abroad
With many Political Bureau members in Gaza having been killed, representation of the Strip within the General Political Bureau will likely be filled by senior Gaza officials currently residing overseas, such as Basem Naim and Ghazi Hamad.
Hamas is attempting to project an image of continued command despite significant losses, opting for covert operations. Operational control on the ground is being transferred to anonymous “shadow” commanders, while the public face of the organization in Gaza is shifting towards Qatar.
Frequently Asked Questions
What changes are occurring within Hamas leadership?
Hamas has completed internal elections to rebuild its leadership structure following the deaths of key figures. A new “General Political Bureau” of 18 members is being established.
Who are the leading contenders for the head of the Political Bureau?
The race for head of the Political Bureau has narrowed to Khalil al-Hayya, representing the Iranian axis, and Khaled Mashal, representing the external leadership.
How is Hamas adjusting its leadership in Gaza?
Due to fears of assassination, Hamas has not publicly named new leaders in Gaza. Ali al-Amoudi is expected to manage the organization’s operations there, and operational control is being transferred to anonymous “shadow” commanders.
As Hamas navigates these internal shifts, what impact might this have on the broader regional dynamics and future negotiations?
