A severe weather outbreak is continuing through Monday, placing parts of the Plains and Midwest under threat. The system is bringing the risk of damaging winds, very large hail, and flooding rainfall.
Of particular concern are the threats of strong to intense tornadoes, specifically those rated EF2/EF3 or higher. Residents in the affected regions are urged to monitor conditions closely.
The Mechanics of the Storm
Meteorologists track specific atmospheric ingredients to determine the likelihood of severe weather. Two of the most critical factors are instability and wind shear.

Higher levels of CAPE increase the probability that thunderstorms will develop. When combined with wind shear—the change in wind speed or direction with height—the potential for severe storms increases.
Tuesday Outlook
The threat of severe weather may persist into Tuesday. Severe thunderstorms are possible across a broad area stretching from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes.
While storms remain a possibility, the threat of tornadoes is expected to be lower on Tuesday compared to Monday’s outbreak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What specific tornado threats are present on Monday?
The outbreak brings the threat of strong to intense tornadoes, specifically EF2/EF3+.
What is the role of wind shear in these storms?
Wind shear is the change in wind speed or direction with height and is a key ingredient in the development of thunderstorms, especially those that become severe.
Which regions are expected to see severe weather on Tuesday?
Severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes.
How do you prepare your home and family for the arrival of intense weather systems?
