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Title: Putin Seeks End to Ukraine War, But on His Terms

A political analyst has suggested that Russian President Vladimir Putin is keen on ending the war against Ukraine, but under his own conditions. This comes amid speculation surrounding a planned meeting between Putin and US President Donald Trump on December 30, 2024, which was later called into question.

Political scientist Yakub Koreichba, in an analysis for 24tv.ua, shared that while Putin has hinted at a willingness to negotiate with the West, he simultaneously seeks to maintain Russia‘s global influence, putting the two sides at odds.

Trump, however, is reluctant to accept Putin’s vision for peace, according to Koreichba. The Ukrainian political expert believes the US President is aware of Putin’s propensity for stirring up conflict and seeks to avoid a similar outcome in the future.

Koreichba argued that Trump is only open to a meeting with Putin on his own terms, stating, "Trump is not seeking a meeting with Putin, but he is ready if Putin agrees to his conditions."

The political scientist also noted that Washington currently has no reason to capitulate to Russia, citing its perceived superiority over Moscow in both political and military power.

Recent Russian diplomatic activities, such as the prolonged stay of a special flight "Russia" in the US, may hint at Putin’s eagerness to establish a connection with the new US administration, Koreichba suggested.

Lastly, Koreichba referenced earlier reports by Dialog.UA, indicating that as of January 1, Putin had "rejected Trump’s peace plan for Ukraine."(1) (2)

This article is based on a report by Dialog.UA and does not necessarily reflect the views of the publication.

Trump Aims to Shift Burden of Military Aid to Ukraine to Europe in 2025

In a bid to reshape US-Ukraine relations, Donald Trump has signaled his intent to transfer the responsibility of military aid to Ukraine onto European countries in 2025. This move, reported by The Washington Post, comes amidst growing skepticism from both the US and European allies over Trump’s ability to broker a quick peace in Ukraine.

Trump, a longtime fervent commentator on the Ukrainian conflict, has repeatedly expressed his desire to make it a priority in his foreign policy next year. However, his strategy for compelling Russia to engage in serious negotiations remains unclear. Ukrainians and Western nations are uncertain whether Trump can fulfill his promise to bring an end to the conflict in 2025.

According to the report, Trump has already begun pressuring European countries to increase their military aid to Ukraine. Simultaneously, he plans to reduce similar support from the US. This comes despite his earlier assertions that he is committed to a quick resolution to the war.

Experts and analysts, reviewing Trump’s statements from 2024, found that resolving the Ukraine crisis was his most frequent topic. However, a concrete peace plan is yet to be outlined by Trump’s team.

Meanwhile, the US continues to probe Russia’s intentions as it questioning the legitimacy of the Ukrainian government. This latest development raises new questions about the future of US-Russia relations and the prospect of peace in Ukraine under Trump’s administration.

Originally published on Dialog.UA by Dmitriy Mironenko.

Title: Ukraine was a success, as … – BBC”>Ukrainians Optimistic: 45% Believe Trump Victory Could Bring Russian-Ukrainian War Closure

A significant percentage of Ukrainians, 45%, believe that a victory for Republican candidate Donald Trump in the American presidential election could potentially accelerate peace in the Russian-Ukrainian war, according to a recent survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KMIS). The poll, carried out from December 2 to 17, also revealed that almost 14% of respondents think that such an outcome would make peace less likely.

The poll data, obtained from Eurointegration, highlights a complex spectrum of opinions among the Ukrainian populace regarding the potential impact of a Trump presidency on their ongoing conflict with Russia.

Breaking down the 45% who envision a Trump victory as a step towards peace, 15% strongly believe it would bring the conflict to a decisive close, while 30% anticipate a more modest advancement. On the other end of the spectrum, 14% of Ukrainians feared that a Trump win would increase the war’s remoteness, with 5% predicting a significant setback and 9% a minor one. The remainder of the respondents either expected no change or were undecided.

When asked about the prospect of a fair global settlement for Ukraine under a Trump administration, the number of optimists dipped to 23%. Conversely, 31% believed the opposite – that such an outcome would prove unfavorable. However, a substantial 29% predicted a compromise, with both Ukrainian and Russian demands being addressed, though it was unclear which would take precedence. The remaining 18% remained unsure about the potential consequences.

In the midst of this election hype, longtime political sparring partners, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, have been exchanging conciliatory signals. Trump, renowned for his affinity for the Russian leader, has often expressed his desire to end the Ukrainian conflict swiftly if re-elected. Meanwhile, Putin has recently signaled his openness to talks with Trump.

Infographics: Check the accompanying infographics for a clearer picture of the Ukrainian public’s stance on the matter.

Title: Vitaliy Portnikov: Post-January 20, Russia–Iran Alliance Could Spark Unpredictable Global Tensions

In a recent interview with UKRLIFE, seasoned political analyst Vitaliy Portnikov shared insightful perspectives on the potential global implications of the upcoming Russia-Iran alliance agreement signing on January 20. The agreement, set to be inked between Russia and Iran, has sparked speculation about potential shifts in geopolitical dynamics.

Portnikov pinpointed the signing event as a pivotal moment, stating, "It’s simply a return to Yalta. Russia wants its territories back, and if Trump isn’t interested in this discussion, any other dialogue is merely an imitation of activity."

The veteran journalist and analyst went on to express concerns about the possibility of an escalating conflict, not just around Eastern Europe or the Middle East, but potentially across the Atlantic. "Either the United States increases its aid and military support to Ukraine, or it risks nuclear war. This is not guaranteed to happen because of Ukraine, but it could still come to pass under Trump’s presidency," Portnikov warned.

Expanding on the potential consequences of the Russia-Iran alliance, Portnikov offered a chilling scenario should the U.S. strike Iran: "Russia might retaliate against American targets in Europe. We have no idea what might happen. The idea that we can avoid provoking them further doesn’t work anymore."

Portnikov has previously penned pieces for Dialog.UA, offering candid views on Ukraine’s political landscape and challenging solutions to existential threats. His recent comments underscore the need for global vigilance and strategic dialogue as the Russia-Iran alliance takes center stage.

Title: Abbas Gallyamov: Trump-Putin Meeting Inevitable, Could Lead to Ukraine War Resolution

Russian opposition figure Abbas Gallyamov is convinced that a meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, in some form or another, is impending. The Russian government claims that several countries have already offered their venues for such a meeting, suggesting that preparations for a conversation between the two leaders are indeed underway.

In an interview with Vasily Golevanyov for the YouTube channel "Fabrika Novostey," Gallyamov asserted, "While it’s unknown if their initial interactions will be offline or remote, it’s evident that some form of dialogue and negotiations will occur."

From Russia’s perspective, Trump is seen as a fresh face who isn’t burdened by responsibility for the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Unlike his predecessor, Trump didn’t initiate the war, nor did he provide military aid to Ukraine. Instead, he often criticized the war and, to some extent, justified Putin’s actions.

Gallyamov explained, "For Russia, Trump presents an opportunity to potentially end the war on terms that are relatively favorable. Even Putin must recognize that resources are stretched thin and a perpetual conflict is unsustainable."

Thus, a dialogue between Putin and Trump is more than just desirable – it’s a necessity. With numerous countries volunteering to host the meeting, it seems like only a matter of time before this necessity translates into reality.

étrangères to the potential implications of the Trump-Putin meeting, Gallyamov recently predicted how Putin’s intransigence towards Ukraine could backfire and identified a subtle sign that could indicate Putin’s death. Previously, he highlighted an intractable problem faced by the Russian president.

Title: Ukraine: U.S. Likely to Focus on Military Aid over Financial by 2025, Says Political Analyst

Ukraine may no longer receive financial assistance from the United States by 2025, but military aid is set to continue, according to prominent political analyst Mikhail Sheitelyman. Sheitelyman shared his insights in an interview with "24 канал" on YouTube.

"The support for Ukraine won’t stop," Sheitelyman said, referring to a recent article in The Economist, which suggested that Ukraine’s 2025 budget is already formulated using its own funds and European contributions, making U.S. financial assistance less necessary.

Sheitelyman also discussed the ongoing military aid from the U.S. "President Trump will continue to provide military assistance to Ukraine, and his spokesperson, John Kelly, will ensure funding for it," he stated. "The factories producing these weapons in the U.S. are running at full capacity, and no one plans on stopping that."

Previously, Dialog.UA reported on Sheitelyman’s analysis regarding why President Putin shows no fear in appearing incoherent while discussing the "Oreshnik" project. He also provided insights into the unexpected reactions caused by a specific phrase uttered by Putin.

Headline: U.S. Security Adviser Calls on Trump to Maintain Pressure on Russia through Ukraine Support

Article:

In a significant diplomatic move, Jake Sullivan, the National Security Adviser to President Joe Biden, has appealed to President-elect Donald Trump to continue military aid to Ukraine. Speaking ahead of Trump’s inauguration, Sullivan emphasized the importance of maintaining "leverage" over Russia to broker a fair agreement between Moscow and Kiev.

"To achieve a just resolution between Russia and Ukraine, we need leverage," Sullivan stated, highlighting that "sustained military support to Ukraine is that leverage." The adviser also acknowledged Trump’s potential to make unexpected diplomatic strides, given his inexperience in international affairs and ability to surprise adversaries.

Moreover, Sullivan praised the outgoing administration’s efforts, asserting that Biden leaves Trump with a strong global position. "We’re handing off a very strong position for the United States, in terms of our national power… competitors and antagonists of America are weaker and under more pressure than before," he noted.

Background:

The call for continued U.S. support comes amidst ongoing conflict in Eastern Ukraine and following Trump’s suggestion to potentially reduce military aid to the region after returning to the White House. Earlier, former U.S. Ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul suggested that Trump could potentially pressure both Putin and Zelensky into negotiations by using military assistance as a bargaining tool.

Trump’s Stance on Ukraine:

During his presidency, Donald Trump was criticized for his approach to Ukraine, including withholding military aid in 2019, which led to an impeachment inquiry. However, he recently stated that he wants to "get rid of" the war in Ukraine and has not ruled out reducing military support.

Discover More:

• Biden’s historic attempt to reroute more weapons to Ukraine – CNN
• How Trump could pressure Zelensky and Putin into talks – UNIAN
• Trump allows reduction in military aid to Ukraine after returning to White House – UNIAN

Title: Trump Eager to Meet Putin, End Ukraine War

Article:

In an anticipated remarks, President-elect Donald Trump has expressed his eagerness to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin to swiftly bring an end to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Speaking during a rally in Arizona, live-streamed by Fox’s LiveNow channel, Trump emphasized the urgency to halt the devastating war.

"We must end this war quickly," Trump stated, "President Putin has indicated his willingness to meet with me at the earliest convenience, and we should indeed meet to put an end to this terrible war."

Trump, however, offered a starkly different casualty figure than reported, claiming that "millions of soldiers have already been lost in this war." He reiterated his belief that the war would not have escalated under his presidency.

"I will stop this war in Ukraine, bring order to the Middle East, and ensure the world is safe from the brink of a Third World War," Trump declared.

Putin has previously extended an olive branch, signaling his readiness for a dialogue or meeting with the U.S. President-elect at any time. This news comes on the heels of Trump’s nomination of Kurt Volker as special representative for Ukraine and Russia, who expressed confidence in the readiness of both Kiev and Moscow for peace talks. Trump has previously reassured his commitment to backing Ukraine in any peace efforts.

As the world watches and waits, the upcoming Trump-Putin meeting could potentially chart a new course for the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine. The global landscape holds its breath for the specifics of this historic encounter.

Also Read: Ukraine’s Quest for Peace – Understanding the Sticking Points

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump reassured that he will not abandon Ukraine in his attempts to resolve the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, according to a report by “European Truth” citing Time magazine’s publication on Trump being named Person of the Year. In a 65-minute interview with Time, Trump stated that he sees Ukraine as a leverage in negotiations with Russia to end the war. “I want to reach a deal, and the only way to reach a deal is not to leave Ukraine,” he affirmed. Trump acknowledged that resolving the conflict is more complex than he initially suggested during his election campaign. He expressed concern about the number of young soldiers killed, describing the situation as “madness”. President Vladimir Zelensky previously stated that he does not take Trump’s pre-election promise to end the war in Ukraine in “24 hours” literally. Meanwhile, Spain does not see a possibility to “end the war in 24 hours” as desired by Trump.

Title: The Only Way to Stop the War: U.S. Unterstützung for Ukraine

The escalating conflict in Ukraine has been a topic of global concern, with many looking towards prominent figures for guidance on how to de-escalate the situation. Recently, former U.S. President Donald Trump weighed in on the matter, stating that the only way to stop the war would be for the U.S. to "not quit" or "pull out" of Ukraine. This sentiment, though couched in typical Trumpian phrasing, deserves a more nuanced examination.

U.S. Involvement in Ukraine

The U.S. has been actively supporting Ukraine since the annexation of Crimea in 2014. This assistance has taken various forms, including economic aid, military training, and the provision of defensive lethal weaponry. The goal of this support is to help Ukraine maintain its sovereignty and territorial integrity in the face of Russian aggression.

Trump’s Stance

Trump’s statement could be interpreted in two ways. The first is that he believes the U.S. should maintain its current level of support for Ukraine to deter further Russian aggression. This aligns with his "America First" foreign policy, which prioritizes U.S. interests and allies. In this context, supporting Ukraine could be seen as a means of containing Russia and protecting U.S. interests in Europe.

The second interpretation is that Trump is advocating for a more interventionist approach. He could be suggesting that the U.S. should play a more active role in the conflict, potentially going beyond providing aid and tightrope-walking the line between direct involvement and traditional neutral diplomacy.

The Complexity of the Ukraine Crisis

The Ukraine crisis is a complex geopolitical issue with historical, cultural, and strategic dimensions. It’s a conflict that has defied easy solutions, and any intervention would need to consider these complexities.

The Need for Continued U.S. Support

Whether one agrees with Trump’s phrasing or not, there’s a kernel of truth in his statement: the U.S. cannot afford to abandon Ukraine. Here’s why:

1. Credibility: Pulling back now would send a message to both Ukraine and Russia that the U.S. cannot be trusted to stand by its allies.

2. Deterrence: continued U.S. support serves as a deterrent to further Russian aggression, not just in Ukraine, but also in other parts of Europe.

3. Strategic Interest: A stable, democratic, and sovereign Ukraine is in the U.S.’s strategic interest. It’s a critical bulwark against Russian expansionism and a potential gateway to European energy markets.

A Way Forward

While Trump’s statement offers a nugget of advice, it lacks specifics on how to de-escalate the situation. A truly effective approach would involve:

1. Diplomacy: Intensified diplomatic efforts to find a peaceful resolution, involving all relevant parties.

2. Enforcement: The continued enforcement of economic sanctions against Russia for its actions in Ukraine.

3. Vous derUniversity: A consistent and clear message from the U.S. and its NATO allies that further Russian aggression will have serious consequences.

In conclusion, while Trump’s statement is notable for its simplicity, the path to stopping the war in Ukraine will undoubtedly be complex and fraught with challenges. The U.S. has a critical role to play, and it cannot afford to quit the field of battle. But neither can it afford to do so thoughtlessly or recklessly. The way forward requires a nuanced, strategic approach that balances the need to support Ukraine with the need to avoid direct conflict with Russia.