Mozambique faces counter-insurgency crisis, says ISS Today

Nine years after terrorists launched their initial assault on Cabo Delgado on 5 October 2017, the Mozambique Defence Armed Forces (FADM) faces a critical counter-insurgency crisis as human rights abuses and logistics gaps undermine community support, according to ISS Today. Despite three decades of internal military experience, the FADM was initially unprepared for rural guerrilla warfare waged by local jihadists backed by external actors, lacking adequate combat capability, logistics, modern equipment, air assets, and military intelligence.

External Training Transforms Capabilities While Logistics Lags

The seizure of district capitals and the subsequent 2021 suspension of a US$20 billion gas extraction project by TotalEnergies forced the Mozambican government to seek external military assistance. The Southern African Development Community Mission in Mozambique (SAMIM) helped dismantle terrorist bases, neutralize leaders, restore state authority, and secure maritime routes. Concurrently, the Rwanda Defence Force (RDF) recovered key territories for the gas industry and trained troops in counter-terrorism. The European Union, Algeria, the United States, and other allies also contributed training programs. The EU Training Mission provided the largest footprint, channelling approximately €89 million to train over 1,600 military personnel across 11 Quick Reaction Force companies in command, control, and human rights law. Algeria is providing specialized battalion training, and the US runs the Joint Combined Exchange Training program for small-unit tactics. However, operational weaknesses persist due to obsolete weaponry sourced from Russia and China, resulting in battlefield deaths and severe transport shortages for troops and wounded personnel.

New Defense Partnerships Secure Equipment and Aircraft Technology

To overcome severe logistical deficits, the Mozambican Ministry of National Defence has established new international procurement agreements. An agreement signed with India in March provides defense equipment and technology transfers for assembling and repairing aircraft, land vehicles, and patrol vessels. A 2024 defense cooperation agreement with Turkey was ratified to develop domestic manufacturing capacity for military aviation, weapons, combat vehicles, and naval assets. Meanwhile, the United States is supplying US$1.5 million for a weapons and ammunition management program aimed at securing state stockpiles and preventing conventional arms diversion to criminal and terrorist factions.

Insurgents Exploit Human Rights Abuses and Weak Road Security

Following the mid-2024 withdrawal of SAMIM forces, the FADM assumed independent responsibility for offensives, road patrols, and defensive positions. Security gaps quickly emerged as displaced terrorist groups reasserted control over remote bases, staging deadly ambushes along major transport routes against joint police and military escorts. Concurrently, state forces face persistent allegations of human rights violations.

Mozambique faces counter-insurgency crisis, says ISS Today
Photo: polity.org.za

Community Cooperation Determines the Outcome of the Insurgency

Military success in Cabo Delgado ultimately hinges on winning the trust of local populations. Insurgents rely on difficult terrain, poor roads, and civilian compliance to hide from government troops without needing military superiority. Effective counter-insurgency requires forces to protect non-combatants and encourage them to report insurgent movements. Although a newly established counter-terrorism centre provides an institutional framework for interagency coordination, the FADM must overhaul its conduct toward local communities to reverse its current battlefield disadvantage.

Common Questions About the Conflict in Cabo Delgado

When did the armed conflict in Cabo Delgado begin?

Terrorists attacked Cabo Delgado on 5 October 2017, taking the Mozambique Defence Armed Forces by surprise and initiating a rural guerrilla campaign.

Which international partner provided the largest training program for the FADM?

The European Union channelled roughly €89 million into training over 1,600 military personnel across 11 Quick Reaction Force companies.

What triggered the Mozambican government to request external military support?

Insurgents seized district capitals and TotalEnergies suspended its US$20 billion gas extraction project in 2021.

When did the Southern African Development Community Mission conclude its deployment?

SAMIM completed its withdrawal from Mozambique in mid-2024, leaving the FADM to independently lead regional security operations.