According to analysis released by Primara Research for homeloanrates.com.au, Australia is facing an 86,807-dwelling shortfall against the National Housing Accord’s target of 480,000 approvals over the first two years of the 1.2 million home target. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese recently defended government housing policies on social media, pointing to a 27 per cent increase in new build loans, but the data highlights deep structural supply issues, builder insolvencies, and severe regional shortfalls.
National Housing Accord Falls Short as Approvals Lag Behind Targets
Official construction data shows that only 393,193 dwellings have been approved nationally against the 480,000 required to stay on track for the 1.2 million home target. Peter Drennan, head of research and data at Primara Research, stated that New South Wales accounts for more than half of the national gap. According to Primara, NSW has completed just under 60 per cent of its assigned dwellings under the scheme, approving 6.13 dwellings per 1000 residents compared to a national average of 7.52.
Major Builder Collapses Add Pressure to Sydney Pipeline
The construction crisis deepened when major Sydney home builder Bathla Group collapsed into voluntary administration with debts exceeding $3 billion. According to company records, Bathla had 22,000 apartments and 5,000 homes in its pipeline across Sydney and surrounding areas. Peter Drennan noted that Bathla’s pipeline accounted for 29 per cent of a full year of NSW approvals in annualised form, leaving a massive share of the state’s housing supply in administrators’ hands. Arjun Paliwal, founder and chief executive of InvestorKit Group, described the failure of the affordable volume builder as massive for a market already lagging behind supply goals.

Did you know? In the 2025-2026 financial year alone, New South Wales lost 1,522 construction companies, including prominent builders like Beechwood Homes, Novati Constructions, and Built Lifestyles, according to industry data.
Tax Settings and Regulatory Hurdles Impact New Build Supply
According to Tom Devitt, senior economist at the Housing Industry Association (HIA), the industry was facing a 20 per cent shortfall even before recent economic pressures. Mr Devitt stated that federal budget announcements regarding investor tax settings and interest rate hikes have further softened forecasts. The federal government conceded in its May budget that recent changes to property investment tax settings would lead to 35,000 fewer homes being built. Furthermore, Mr Devitt warned that reforms restricting self-managed superannuation funds from borrowing to buy residential housing will reduce overall property supply because established and new markets are inextricably linked.

Labor Shortages and Land Constraints Compound Construction Delays
Chronic workforce shortages continue to plague key trades, particularly bricklaying, tiling, roofing, and carpentry, according to Tom Devitt. Both Mr Devitt and Arjun Paliwal pointed out that skilled migration programs and apprentice incentives have lagged behind demand, while major public infrastructure projects pull workers away with more secure pay. Additionally, Mr Devitt identified a lack of appropriately zoned and infrastructure-ready land as the single biggest constraint on homebuilding, noting that converting farmland into shovel-ready sites can take over a decade.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the National Housing Accord target?
The National Housing Accord aims to build 1.2 million new well-located homes over five years, requiring 480,000 approvals across its first two years.
Why are construction companies collapsing in Australia?
According to industry experts, builders face severe pressures from surging operating costs, rising interest rates, controversial tax settings, complex regulations, and acute skilled labour shortages.
How many homes behind schedule is New South Wales?
New South Wales is more than 50,000 homes behind schedule, having completed just under 60 per cent of the dwellings assigned to the state under the housing scheme.
Stay Informed on Australia’s Housing Market
Get the latest property data, construction updates, and expert economic analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Worth a look