Strait of Hormuz Traffic to Normalize by August, Kalshi Traders Predict

Market confidence in the normalization of shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has risen to 58%, according to data from prediction market Kalshi, following an announcement by U.S. President Donald Trump regarding a preliminary peace agreement with Iran. The memorandum of understanding, slated for a formal signing in Geneva this Friday, includes provisions for … Read more

U.S.-Iran Deal Uncertainties May Stunt Dollar Decline

The U.S. dollar is maintaining a floor against major currencies as markets balance the easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East against persistent expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. While an interim peace deal between the U.S. and Iran has cooled immediate fears regarding the Strait of Hormuz, Rabobank analyst Jane Foley notes … Read more

Israel Strikes Beirut Suburbs as Hezbollah Conflict Escalates

The Israeli military struck a Hezbollah target in the Beirut suburb of Dahiya on Sunday, an escalation that threatens to derail ongoing U.S.-brokered peace negotiations between the United States and Iran. Lebanese health authorities reported three deaths and 16 injuries in the strike. President Trump publicly criticized the action on Truth Social, urging restraint as … Read more

Israel to Maintain Lebanon Presence Despite Ceasefire, Sources Say

Israel will maintain its military presence in southern Lebanon despite a newly brokered US-Iran deal, according to an Israeli source who spoke with The Jerusalem Post. While the agreement includes a permanent cessation of hostilities across multiple fronts, the Israeli government has indicated that tactical security operations will continue, asserting that the Israel Defense Forces … Read more

Iran Deal: Oil and Gas Supply Recovery to Take Months

Global energy markets remain constrained despite a ceasefire agreement ending the Iran war and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. According to energy analysts, the logistical hurdles of restarting idled oil fields and the slow pace of maritime transit mean consumers will not see immediate relief at the pump. While Brent crude prices fell by $3.45 … Read more

Trump and Netanyahu Discuss Beirut Airstrikes in Recent Call

U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke by phone on Sunday following Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah command centers in Beirut’s Dahiyeh district. The strikes occurred hours before a planned U.S.-Iran peace deal. While the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) stated the action was a response to Hezbollah fire, President Trump publicly denounced … Read more

Trump Warns Israel and Iran Amid Ceasefire Risks

President Donald Trump has urged an immediate halt to military strikes in the Middle East as U.S. and Iranian negotiators work toward a final ceasefire agreement. Despite these efforts, Israeli military forces struck Hezbollah targets in Beirut on Sunday, citing projectiles launched into northern Israel. The potential deal, brokered largely by Pakistan, remains fragile as … Read more

Iran Expands Near-Weapon-Grade Uranium Stockpile

Iran has intensified efforts to secure its enriched uranium stockpile by collapsing access tunnels and planting explosive mines at site entrances, according to five sources familiar with US intelligence cited by CNN. This move complicates ongoing negotiations between the US and Iran, which reportedly aim to dismantle the Iranian nuclear program and facilitate the removal … Read more

TTP Members Sanctioned by US Still Active on YouTube

YouTube has hosted content from individuals and organizations sanctioned by the U.S. Treasury Department for supporting the Iranian regime, according to a report published by the Tech Transparency Project (TTP). The research identifies numerous accounts linked to sanctioned entities that remain active on the platform, potentially creating liability under U.S. sanctions law. Following the report’s … Read more

IDF Strikes Hezbollah Targets in Beirut Following Drone Attacks

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) launched strikes on a Hezbollah command center in the Dahiyeh district of Beirut on Sunday, following a series of drone incursions into Israeli airspace. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz confirmed the operation, stating that Israel will not tolerate fire directed at its territory. The strikes coincide … Read more