Due to the rapid development of robots and artificial intelligence, the time will not be far off when even people carrying out routine physical jobs will not be able to feel safe, says Kristjan Port in the technical commentary of R2.
The monumental figure of technological triumph, Thomas A. Edison, was sure that “five percent of men think; ten percent of men think they think; and the remaining eighty-five percent die rather than think.” As a result, most people are human robots instead.
They will be needed for some time to come. Much post-industrial revolution education has been driven by efforts to turn a young person into as standard a worker as possible. The one that would be suitable to fill that part next to the machines that the latter could not yet do. The most sensible of the others responded best to the given form and received a five as confirmation.
The writer George Bernard Shaw observed that reasonable people adapt to the world around them, while unreasonable people continue to try to adapt the world to themselves. Therefore, all progress depends on unreasonable people, noted the Irish Nobel Prize winner for his description of man. Steve Jobs popularized the same idea, and here we are now, thanks to unreasonable people.
Surrendering five percent of your thinking to artificial intelligence seems trivial. It is probably a mistake to believe Edison and conclude that this was enough for the development that has brought us to today. Although this is a literary exaggeration, it can be said more effectively that deeper thought is not easy and almost impossible to achieve without practice. It requires knowledge gained through in-depth reflection. At the same time, sailing in the sea of u200bu200bknowledge alone is not enough, when the last drop of water that you brought with you dries up on the shore.
Therefore, the development of an artificial thinking machine is not an unnatural goal at all. With them comes the eternal question: What should people do with their lives when their five percent effort is no longer enough to stay on top?
At least for the moment, they have to do more physical work. It seems like we’re still in the early days when it comes to creating robots that move fluidly and dexterously. Tasks that are difficult for the machine, but which for us require automatic movements, will have to be carried out alone for some time to come. We also have a skip that can also be put up for sale. Good ideas are usually not enough: someone has to implement them, for example in the development of medicines.
Pharmaceutical company AstraZeneca invested $247 million on Monday in the belief that artificial intelligence will be better than humans at developing anti-cancer molecules. The money will be used by a partner company with an AI-based drug design platform that uses, among other things, generative AI models already familiar to the public to create millions of potential synthetic antibodies. From these, the candidates with the greatest potential are selected.
Then you need people. Those who organize or participate in drug trials. Humans are needed at least until synthetic human models are created on which the effects of drugs can be theoretically tested. For example, the development of modern nuclear weapons is based on such theoretical reality. Real nuclear weapons tests are economically and politically too costly.
By looking around like this you will find jobs for a while yet. There are fears that new age work will mean lower wages. The analysis of the European Central Bank published a few days ago also indicates this, even if there is little time.
It was recently demonstrated how a laboratory robot with limited mobility compared to a human received ideas from artificial intelligence to make a few million new synthetic materials. By mixing and processing substances in the laboratory, the robot demonstrated 380,000 new materials with permanent properties. Therefore, within a short time ten times more stable compounds were added than people had managed to discover up to that point.
Some of them are probably really useful. Although even when you choose them, you may have to wait for a response from the person. The working ability and accuracy of a laboratory robot surpasses that of a person, whose universality of movements is not important in this work.
Some more recent examples point to the growth of competition in human physical labor. Beijing recently released guidelines for the development of humanoid robots. The long-term goal is to create the necessary mass production technology by 2025 and to ensure a reliable supply chain for production by 2027. The formulation of the guidelines interestingly divides the strategy between a tripartite functional part based on man: the brain, the cerebellum and the limbs.
The “Brain” chapter describes the creation of the logical layer necessary for environmental perception, behavior control, human-machine interaction, and integration with all types of systems and devices. The “Cerebellum” chapter sets out objectives related to controlling robot motion and object manipulation. The “Items” category reflects robots’ real-world contact with the physical world and focuses on their most visible parts, such as dexterous, strong and extremely precise hands, lightweight building materials, long-lasting batteries and other energy management solutions .
The race has begun. Construction of the first humanoid robot factory began in the United States. The industrial plan envisages the production of at least 10,000 bipedal robots per year. Most of them find work in Amazon warehouses and other large companies, where workers are needed that are more skilled than existing industrial robots and more durable and capable than humans.
Finally, it should be remembered that OpenAI defines universal artificial intelligence (AGI – general artificial intelligence) as an autonomous system that surpasses humans in most of the most economically valuable tasks, to the benefit of all humanity. Now we just need to figure out what we want. It should contribute more than 5% of human thinking and involve more than 5% of humanity.
From Monday to Thursday you can listen to Kristjan Port’s technological commentary on Radio 2’s “Portaal”.
2023-12-06 08:24:00
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